{"id":18439,"date":"2023-06-06T14:47:33","date_gmt":"2023-06-06T17:47:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cgceducacao.com.br\/?p=18439"},"modified":"2023-06-06T14:47:38","modified_gmt":"2023-06-06T17:47:38","slug":"neoindustrializacao-sim-mas-como","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cgceducacao.com.br\/index.php\/2023\/06\/06\/neoindustrializacao-sim-mas-como\/","title":{"rendered":"Neoindustrializa\u00e7\u00e3o sim. Mas como?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Neoindustrializa\u00e7\u00e3o sim. Mas como?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Artigo de opini\u00e3o de Jorge J. Kubaro no Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo em 06\/06\/2023<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alguns temas dos quais o artigo de Lula e Alckmin manteve dist\u00e2ncia s\u00e3o importantes, outros talvez sejam decisivos para a formula\u00e7\u00e3o de uma pol\u00edtica industrial<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uma esp\u00e9cie de heran\u00e7a estat\u00edstica bendita deixa o cen\u00e1rio econ\u00f4mico menos sombrio do que aquele que se desenhava. At\u00e9 h\u00e1 pouco, o crescimento projetado para o Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) brasileiro ao longo do ano mal chegava a 1%. O resultado do primeiro trimestre apurado pelo Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estat\u00edstica (IBGE) foi um crescimento de 1,9% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao trimestre anterior. Se esse resultado se repetisse nos tr\u00eas trimestres seguintes, o aumento do PIB em 2023 chegaria perto de 8%. Mesmo que nos pr\u00f3ximos trimestres o crescimento seja zero em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao resultado de mar\u00e7o, a economia ter\u00e1 crescido 2,4% neste ano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O fato de a expans\u00e3o dos primeiros tr\u00eas meses do ano ter dependido fortemente da agropecu\u00e1ria, que cresceu 21,6%, mostra, por\u00e9m, uma economia desequilibrada. O setor de servi\u00e7os cresceu s\u00f3 0,6% e a ind\u00fastria encolheu 0,1% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao trimestre anterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O resultado mant\u00e9m a tend\u00eancia de perda gradual da import\u00e2ncia da ind\u00fastria \u2013 em especial a de transforma\u00e7\u00e3o \u2013 na economia brasileira. Nas economias avan\u00e7adas, esse \u00e9 um fen\u00f4meno conhecido. Mas, no Brasil, al\u00e9m de precoce, essa perda de import\u00e2ncia \u00e9 bem mais intensa. Na d\u00e9cada de 1980, a ind\u00fastria chegou a responder por cerca de 25% do PIB brasileiro; hoje sua fatia est\u00e1 em torno de 10%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c9 urgente a ado\u00e7\u00e3o de um programa de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da ind\u00fastria, em raz\u00e3o de seu papel na moderniza\u00e7\u00e3o do sistema produtivo interno e na inser\u00e7\u00e3o da economia brasileira na mundial num per\u00edodo de grandes e r\u00e1pidas transforma\u00e7\u00f5es tecnol\u00f3gicas. Do ponto de vista socioecon\u00f4mico, \u00e9 preciso preservar e fortalecer sua capacidade de gerar empregos com maior exig\u00eancia de qualifica\u00e7\u00e3o profissional e mais bem remunerados, com efeitos positivos sobre outros setores da economia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nesse sentido, foi mais do que oportuna a iniciativa do presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva e do vice-presidente Geraldo Alckmin de publicar no Estad\u00e3o<\/strong> o artigo Neoindustrializa\u00e7\u00e3o para o Brasil que queremos<\/em><\/a> (25\/5), no qual afirmam que \u201ca desindustrializa\u00e7\u00e3o precisa ser interrompida, para que geremos mais empregos de qualidade\u201d. Lula e Alckmin reconhecem que \u201cestamos perdendo a corrida da sofistica\u00e7\u00e3o produtiva\u201d e afirmam que \u201cprecisamos de uma pol\u00edtica industrial inteligente, para o novo momento da globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A refer\u00eancia \u00e0 necessidade de \u201cpol\u00edticas horizontais \u2013 como uma tributa\u00e7\u00e3o eficiente e justa\u201d parece destinar-se a conter temores de empres\u00e1rios e de analistas econ\u00f4micos de que uma pol\u00edtica industrial sob o novo governo Lula venha a repetir pr\u00e1ticas de gest\u00f5es petistas anteriores, em que segmentos empresariais e at\u00e9 mesmo empresas espec\u00edficas foram escolhidos para receber benef\u00edcios tribut\u00e1rios ou financeiros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00e1, como destacaram diferentes comentaristas, aspectos positivos no artigo de Lula e Alckmin, mas tamb\u00e9m h\u00e1 omiss\u00f5es. Alguns temas dos quais o artigo manteve dist\u00e2ncia s\u00e3o importantes, outros talvez sejam decisivos para a formula\u00e7\u00e3o de uma pol\u00edtica industrial sem favorecimentos e adequada \u00e0s necessidades do setor manufatureiro brasileiro para aproximar-se dos de outros pa\u00edses e com eles poder competir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A observa\u00e7\u00e3o, no artigo, de que \u201ca ind\u00fastria s\u00f3 prosperar\u00e1 com capital humano bem formado\u201d apenas tangencia um tema crucial n\u00e3o s\u00f3 para a neoindustrializa\u00e7\u00e3o, mas para o futuro do Pa\u00eds. Trata-se da quest\u00e3o da educa\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No seu plano para a retomada da ind\u00fastria, a Confedera\u00e7\u00e3o Nacional da Ind\u00fastria diz que uma de suas prioridades \u00e9 a educa\u00e7\u00e3o profissional do modo como fazem os pa\u00edses mais desenvolvidos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A educadora Cl\u00e1udia Costin, observou que, no mundo da automa\u00e7\u00e3o acelerada e da intelig\u00eancia artificial, \u201cprecisamos educar para duas coisas simultaneamente: desenvolver o pensamento cr\u00edtico e criativo\u201d. Como conseguir isso num pa\u00eds em que at\u00e9 a carga hor\u00e1ria nas escolas \u00e9 insuficiente? Imposs\u00edvel. \u201cNenhum pa\u00eds que se industrializou tem quatro horas de aula por dia, mas, sim, de sete a nove horas\u201d, disse Costin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e3o observa\u00e7\u00f5es que bastam para dar a dimens\u00e3o da reforma de que carece o sistema de ensino do Pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Consequ\u00eancias diretas da m\u00e1 forma\u00e7\u00e3o educacional s\u00e3o a baixa capacidade profissional e a lentid\u00e3o com que avan\u00e7a, quando avan\u00e7a, a produtividade no Pa\u00eds, em particular na ind\u00fastria. O artigo de Lula e Alckmin n\u00e3o faz nenhuma refer\u00eancia a produtividade. E \u00e9 sua deteriora\u00e7\u00e3o nos \u00faltimos anos que explica boa parte da perda de import\u00e2ncia da ind\u00fastria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Em sua edi\u00e7\u00e3o de maio, o Boletim Macro <\/em>do Instituto Brasileiro de Economia da Funda\u00e7\u00e3o Get\u00falio Vargas mostra que o desempenho da produtividade na ind\u00fastria desde 1995 \u201cfoi muito negativo\u201d, com redu\u00e7\u00e3o m\u00e9dia ao ano de 0,4% at\u00e9 2022. Enquanto em outros pa\u00edses a ind\u00fastria se torna cada vez mais produtiva e competitiva, aqui ela n\u00e3o apenas encolhe, como fica cada vez menos eficiente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c9 mais do que um problema, \u00e9 um extenso conjunto de problemas que precisa ser enfrentado com urg\u00eancia \u2013 e com sabedoria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Neoindustrializa\u00e7\u00e3o sim. Mas como? Artigo de opini\u00e3o de Jorge J. Kubaro no Estado de S\u00e3o Paulo em 06\/06\/2023 Alguns temas dos quais o artigo de Lula e Alckmin manteve dist\u00e2ncia… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18440,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[561,104,66,136],"class_list":["post-18439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-na-midia","tag-claudiacostin-2","tag-educacao-pos-pandemia","tag-instituto-singularidades","tag-singularidades"],"yoast_head":"\nNeoindustrializa\u00e7\u00e3o sim. 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